Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.002668 0.002853 0.003052 0.003284 0.003549 0.003843 0.004198
2024-10-20 0.002309 0.002543 0.002810 0.003139 0.003543 0.004029 0.004676
2024-10-27 0.002121 0.002391 0.002710 0.003126 0.003666 0.004368 0.005394
2024-11-03 0.001894 0.002162 0.002488 0.002925 0.003515 0.004319 0.005572
2024-11-10 0.001810 0.002098 0.002458 0.002958 0.003667 0.004694 0.006449
2024-11-17 0.001751 0.002058 0.002451 0.003015 0.003853 0.005149 0.007592
2024-11-24 0.001672 0.001983 0.002390 0.002990 0.003911 0.005409 0.008481
2024-12-01 0.001633 0.001959 0.002394 0.003053 0.004110 0.005942 0.010155
2024-12-08 0.001575 0.001904 0.002350 0.003041 0.004182 0.006263 0.011531
2024-12-15 0.001511 0.001836 0.002283 0.002987 0.004176 0.006431 0.012622
2024-12-22 0.001487 0.001824 0.002294 0.003051 0.004384 0.007080 0.015663
2024-12-29 0.001463 0.001808 0.002297 0.003105 0.004578 0.007759 0.019715
2025-01-05 0.001413 0.001755 0.002247 0.003073 0.004619 0.008131 0.023383
2025-01-12 0.001344 0.001675 0.002151 0.002956 0.004483 0.008031 0.024585
2025-01-19 0.001308 0.001639 0.002121 0.002949 0.004566 0.008541 0.031053
2025-01-26 0.001233 0.001544 0.001995 0.002769 0.004273 0.007935 0.027968
2025-02-02 0.001213 0.001527 0.001991 0.002801 0.004426 0.008659 0.038924
2025-02-09 0.001199 0.001519 0.001998 0.002853 0.004633 0.009650 0.063786
2025-02-16 0.001169 0.001487 0.001966 0.002830 0.004668 0.010101 0.091464
2025-02-23 0.001158 0.001482 0.001976 0.002888 0.004900 0.011410 0.283356
2025-03-02 0.001134 0.001456 0.001952 0.002876 0.004964 0.012107 1.807033
2025-03-09 0.001104 0.001420 0.001909 0.002827 0.004926 0.012354 NaN
2025-03-16 0.001095 0.001418 0.001922 0.002886 0.005177 0.014170 NaN